Europe Caught Between Rock and Hard Place on Iran
Deutsche Welle wrote on June 19:
"With mass demonstrations continuing since the announcement of the presidential election results in the Iranian capital and other cities despite a government crackdown, many observers inside and outside the country had hoped that Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei would make an effort of reconciliation in his traditional Friday sermon. Instead, Khamenei defended Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, declaring him the clear winner of the election and urged the opposition to end its protests.
"That puts the West in a terrible bind, says Nicola Pedde, Director of Globe Research, a Rome-based think tank focusing on the Middle East. 'We can do nothing. If you support the reformists, the Iranian government will say that the opposition is supported by agents of foreign governments. And if you stay silent it can be interpreted negatively as support for the government.'
"Paul Luft, founder of the Center for Iranian Studies at Durham University, agrees that Western countries should stay out of what he describes as an internal conflict... If the West is perceived to be meddling in Iran's domestic affairs, that could help unite the Islamists, says Luft...
"But other experts argue that the West can't just stand by and let events unfold, but must make a concerted effort to support the democracy movement in Iran... 'The West shouldn't prematurely recognize Ahmadinejad as the winner of the election', says Jamsheed Faroughi, Head of Deutsche Welle's Farsi service. Instead, Western countries should demand new elections in Iran under independent, international supervision. 'If Ahmadinejad really won the election by a landslide as the official results claim, then what is the government afraid of?'
"It is crucial that Europe doesn't just remain on the sidelines this time, argues Bernd Kaussler, an Iran expert at James Madison University... Kaussler admits that Europe is in a difficult position, but says it could lose all of its credibility with reform-minded Iranians if it doesn't act now... Kaussler agrees with Faroughi that the West should not recognize Ahmadinejad as the winner of the election. While the EU and the US shouldn't endorse his opponent Mir Hossein Mousavi in order not to meddle too much in Iranian affairs, they should highlight human rights violations and demand freedom of expression in Iran. 'It could start with the European Parliament issuing a resolution claiming solidarity with the Iranians.'"
The article also published the following chart, explaining more fully the rather complicated Iranian governmental system or power structure.



